#美联储利率政策变化# Looking back at the changes in the Fed's interest rate policy over the past thirty years, history is astonishingly similar. The tech bubble of the late 1990s, the financial crisis of 2008, and today's inflation pressures, each time the Fed has weighed between tightening and easing. Currently, Bostic expects a rate cut once this year, and Bowman supports gradual cuts, which is remarkably similar to past policy shifts. However, history tells us that excessively loose monetary policy often lays the groundwork for the next crisis. It is crucial to closely follow employment data and inflation trends, as they are the barometers of Fed decision-making. Compared to the situations in 2000 and 2008, the current economic conditions are more complex, and the Fed's room for policy maneuvering is also more limited. We should approach this possible rate-cutting cycle with caution to avoid repeating past mistakes. After all, those who do not understand history are doomed to repeat its errors.